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Red88
486325.1
756027.0
812235.7
Blue147
178138.8
582224.8
414356.2
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7014605010020088147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+69
Endgame+59
Fouls+59
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave0
3Coral scored#5
16Coral points23
19Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +65
11Coral scored#24
41Coral points86
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
6Processor points18
8Net points16
14Algae points34
55Total teleop120
Reef
5L4#11
3L3#6
2L2#7
4L1 · trough#5
17Game pieces#36
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +59
0Foul points0
88Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8122
#22
35.70.5
31.832.3
Auto9.4
Teleop19.1
End7.1
blue by 20.6
56.21.0
59.560.5
Auto12.6
Teleop37.3
End6.2
Second
7560
#21
27.00.8
18.619.4
Auto5.4
Teleop20.2
End1.4
blue by 11.8
1781
#13
38.81.0
36.637.6
Auto6.8
Teleop31.7
End0.4
Third
4863
#16
25.10.8
18.419.2
Auto7.3
Teleop15.4
End2.3
red by 0.2
5822
#27
24.81.0
24.925.9
Auto5.0
Teleop15.7
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed46%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned55%Barge oddsMissed