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Qual 292025 Midwest Regional
Red28
1021420.4
215122.5
17392.6
Blue109
812235.7
470217.9
464529.7
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39740206010012028109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+65
Endgame+79
Fouls+81
AutonomousBlue +17
0Leave3
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points20
6Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +48
4Coral scored#14
16Coral points50
1Processor algae#2
0Net algae#2
6Processor points12
0Net points8
6Algae points20
22Total teleop70
Reef
2L4#6
1L3#5
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
6Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +14
0Cage & park14
0Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +81
0Foul points2
28Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2151
#15
22.51.3
19.4→18.2
Auto7.1
Teleop15.8
End-0.5
blue by 13.2
8122
#22
35.72.8
32.3→35.0
Auto9.4
Teleop19.1
End7.1
Second
10214
#36
20.40.8
17.0→16.2
Auto4.7
Teleop12.9
End2.8
blue by 9.3
4645
#25
29.72.8
22.4→25.2
Auto6.2
Teleop21.6
End1.9
Third
1739
#30
2.61.3
2.8→1.6
Auto2.3
Teleop0.9
End-0.6
blue by 15.3
4702
#17
17.94.6
10.9→15.5
Auto5.3
Teleop10.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed27%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed61%Barge oddsEarned