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Red91
94946.6
178138.8
888042.0
Blue95
720110.4
1043825.2
306152.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10497501502009195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+6Teleop
Endgame+4
Fouls+4
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
2Coral scored#0
10Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +1
15Coral scored#14
55Coral points50
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
69Total teleop70
Reef
5L4#6
5L3#3
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points0
91Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8880
#11
42.00.0
38.838.8
Auto6.1
Teleop31.2
End4.7
blue by 10.6
52.60.7
44.945.5
Auto14.9
Teleop33.1
End4.7
Second
1781
#13
38.80.0
37.637.6
Auto6.8
Teleop31.7
End0.4
red by 13.7
25.20.7
23.424.0
Auto5.1
Teleop19.0
End1.1
Third
9494
#38
6.60.0
14.314.3
Auto4.2
Teleop2.1
End0.4
blue by 3.8
7201
#35
10.41.1
16.918.0
Auto1.6
Teleop6.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsEarned