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Red126
802922.9
369519.6
969254.5
Blue137
4824.5
409651.6
582224.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98100406080120140160126137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+15
Endgame+13
Fouls+11
Autonomouslevel
0Leave9
5Coral scored#4
27Coral points18
27Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +15
21Coral scored#17
77Coral points62
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#8
6Processor points12
8Net points32
14Algae points44
91Total teleop106
Reef
11L4#7
7L3#6
6L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
29Game pieces#31
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
2Foul points0
126Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9692
#10
54.51.1
45.446.5
Auto18.3
Teleop30.8
End5.5
red by 2.9
51.61.9
38.740.6
Auto15.2
Teleop34.5
End1.8
Second
8029
#34
22.91.8
20.622.4
Auto4.1
Teleop15.9
End2.9
blue by 1.9
5822
#27
24.81.9
25.927.9
Auto5.0
Teleop15.7
End4.2
Third
3695
#33
19.61.8
21.923.6
Auto2.7
Teleop16.4
End0.5
blue by 4.9
48
#26
24.51.9
24.326.2
Auto5.3
Teleop14.4
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsMissed68%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsMissed