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Red79
233872.9
94946.6
306720.9
Blue118
512517.0
178138.8
409651.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1181015015020079118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
Teleop+47
Endgame+37
Fouls+39
AutonomousRed +8
0Leave6
7Coral scored#4
34Coral points20
34Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +55
6Coral scored#15
23Coral points54
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
0Processor points12
8Net points20
8Algae points32
31Total teleop86
Reef
4L4#8
3L3#5
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#26
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points2
79Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.91.7
73.471.7
Auto24.8
Teleop40.7
End7.4
red by 21.4
51.61.4
40.642.0
Auto15.2
Teleop34.5
End1.8
Second
3067
#14
20.91.7
17.415.7
Auto5.9
Teleop12.2
End2.8
blue by 17.9
1781
#13
38.81.4
37.639.1
Auto6.8
Teleop31.7
End0.4
Third
9494
#38
6.62.9
14.311.4
Auto4.2
Teleop2.1
End0.4
blue by 10.4
5125
#32
17.01.4
16.517.9
Auto4.4
Teleop11.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsMissed47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
39%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned10%Barge oddsMissed