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Red77
582224.8
464529.7
1043825.2
Blue147
414356.2
1043542.5
969254.5
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions751675010015020025077147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+60
Endgame+70
Fouls+70
AutonomousBlue +18
9Leave6
1Coral scored#6
7Coral points28
16Total auto34
TeleoperatedBlue +42
10Coral scored#16
37Coral points57
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#6
12Processor points18
8Net points24
20Algae points42
57Total teleop99
Reef
3L4#8
3L3#7
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +70
0Foul points0
77Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4645
#25
29.70.0
25.225.2
Auto6.2
Teleop21.6
End1.9
blue by 26.5
56.20.2
60.160.3
Auto12.6
Teleop37.3
End6.2
Second
25.20.0
24.024.0
Auto5.1
Teleop19.0
End1.1
blue by 29.3
9692
#10
54.50.2
46.546.7
Auto18.3
Teleop30.8
End5.5
Third
5822
#27
24.80.0
27.927.9
Auto5.0
Teleop15.7
End4.2
blue by 17.7
42.50.2
37.537.7
Auto3.8
Teleop33.0
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed28%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed69%Barge oddsEarned