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Red109
263845.9
17392.6
886315.6
Blue91
720110.4
1021420.4
202253.1
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5910505015010991

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
Teleop+2
+8Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
0Leave3
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points7
23Total auto10
TeleoperatedBlue +15
9Coral scored#14
34Coral points49
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
58Total teleop73
Reef
3L4#7
5L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#20
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
14Foul points4
109Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.91.7
40.241.9
Auto11.6
Teleop27.5
End6.8
blue by 7.2
53.10.8
49.949.1
Auto7.2
Teleop45.4
End0.5
Second
8863
#37
15.62.8
14.517.3
Auto4.2
Teleop11.2
End0.1
blue by 4.8
20.40.8
19.718.9
Auto4.7
Teleop12.9
End2.8
Third
1739
#30
2.62.8
3.86.6
Auto2.3
Teleop0.9
End-0.6
blue by 7.8
7201
#35
10.41.3
18.016.7
Auto1.6
Teleop6.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed23%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsMissed