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Red107
369519.6
812235.7
429623.2
Blue112
306720.9
486325.1
178138.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9286406080100120140107112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+11
+1Endgame
Fouls+5
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points16
19Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +11
14Coral scored#17
50Coral points61
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
6Processor points6
16Net points16
22Algae points22
72Total teleop83
Reef
5L4#10
6L3#6
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#25
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points6
107Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8122
#22
35.70.8
33.834.6
Auto9.4
Teleop19.1
End7.1
blue by 3.1
1781
#13
38.81.3
39.140.4
Auto6.8
Teleop31.7
End0.4
Second
4296
#29
23.21.3
18.619.9
Auto6.8
Teleop13.5
End2.9
blue by 1.8
4863
#16
25.12.2
19.521.7
Auto7.3
Teleop15.4
End2.3
Third
3695
#33
19.61.3
25.326.6
Auto2.7
Teleop16.4
End0.5
blue by 1.4
3067
#14
20.91.3
15.717.0
Auto5.9
Teleop12.2
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsMissed