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Red26
966914.6
582224.8
470217.9
Blue135
1043825.2
802922.9
233872.9
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7114205010020026135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+85
Endgame+97
Fouls+109
AutonomousBlue +28
9Leave9
0Coral scored#6
0Coral points28
9Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +57
3Coral scored#13
9Coral points48
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
0Processor points6
4Net points16
4Algae points22
13Total teleop70
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#6
1L2#4
0L1 · trough#4
4Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +109
0Foul points12
26Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5822
#27
24.82.8
27.925.1
Auto5.0
Teleop15.7
End4.2
blue by 48.1
72.90.3
71.772.0
Auto24.8
Teleop40.7
End7.4
Second
4702
#17
17.94.7
21.316.6
Auto5.3
Teleop10.1
End2.5
blue by 7.3
25.20.3
24.024.3
Auto5.1
Teleop19.0
End1.1
Third
9669
#28
14.64.7
18.814.2
Auto4.5
Teleop8.0
End2.1
blue by 8.3
8029
#34
22.90.5
22.923.4
Auto4.1
Teleop15.9
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsMissed60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed28%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed70%Barge oddsEarned