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Red77
512517.0
478725.6
4824.5
Blue66
414356.2
94946.6
1045816.3
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions671180501001507766

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+3Teleop
+5Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave9
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points14
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +14
10Coral scored#6
37Coral points23
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
47Total teleop33
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#3
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#11
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
12Foul points6
77Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.60.1
18.718.8
Auto5.7
Teleop13.9
End6.1
blue by 30.6
56.22.5
60.357.8
Auto12.6
Teleop37.3
End6.2
Second
48
#26
24.50.1
27.527.5
Auto5.3
Teleop14.4
End4.7
red by 8.1
16.34.1
25.221.1
Auto4.9
Teleop8.9
End2.5
Third
5125
#32
17.00.1
17.918.0
Auto4.4
Teleop11.1
End1.5
red by 10.4
9494
#38
6.64.1
11.47.3
Auto4.2
Teleop2.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed34%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsMissed