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Red104
429623.2
928045.5
94946.6
Blue135
812235.7
32348.9
215122.5
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61118050100150104135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+23
Endgame+33
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave0
2Coral scored#6
10Coral points30
13Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +6
14Coral scored#20
51Coral points73
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
18Processor points6
16Net points12
34Algae points18
85Total teleop91
Reef
6L4#11
6L3#7
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
2Foul points0
104Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9280
#31
45.52.4
35.237.6
Auto5.1
Teleop37.4
End2.9
blue by 3.4
323
#3
48.91.9
42.644.5
Auto8.0
Teleop36.1
End4.7
Second
4296
#29
23.23.5
19.823.3
Auto6.8
Teleop13.5
End2.9
blue by 12.5
8122
#22
35.71.9
36.638.5
Auto9.4
Teleop19.1
End7.1
Third
9494
#38
6.63.5
2.25.7
Auto4.2
Teleop2.1
End0.4
blue by 15.9
2151
#15
22.52.7
19.422.1
Auto7.1
Teleop15.8
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsMissed67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed60%Barge oddsEarned