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Red115
802922.9
409651.6
486325.1
Blue87
1021420.4
4824.5
1043825.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10077406012014011587

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+36Teleop
+34Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave3
5Coral scored#3
26Coral points13
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +26
13Coral scored#11
47Coral points39
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
18Processor points12
20Net points8
38Algae points20
85Total teleop59
Reef
4L4#4
6L3#4
6L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points6
115Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.61.9
44.646.5
Auto15.2
Teleop34.5
End1.8
red by 26.4
25.20.8
24.325.1
Auto5.1
Teleop19.0
End1.1
Second
4863
#16
25.12.9
21.724.7
Auto7.3
Teleop15.4
End2.3
red by 0.6
48
#26
24.50.8
26.927.6
Auto5.3
Teleop14.4
End4.7
Third
8029
#34
22.92.7
20.423.1
Auto4.1
Teleop15.9
End2.9
red by 2.5
20.40.8
18.018.8
Auto4.7
Teleop12.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsMissed71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsMissed