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Red117
470217.9
306720.9
11178.1
Blue59
582224.8
886315.6
512517.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13950010015020011759

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+50Teleop
+60Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
9Leave0
5Coral scored#2
24Coral points9
33Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +26
14Coral scored#9
52Coral points32
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
12Processor points6
4Net points4
16Algae points10
68Total teleop42
Reef
8L4#4
6L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#13
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +58
0Foul points2
117Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#1
78.10.2
77.377.1
Auto17.6
Teleop49.7
End10.7
red by 53.2
5822
#27
24.80.1
23.723.6
Auto5.0
Teleop15.7
End4.2
Second
3067
#14
20.90.2
18.518.4
Auto5.9
Teleop12.2
End2.8
red by 3.9
5125
#32
17.00.1
16.016.0
Auto4.4
Teleop11.1
End1.5
Third
4702
#17
17.90.2
18.318.1
Auto5.3
Teleop10.1
End2.5
red by 2.3
8863
#37
15.60.1
12.212.1
Auto4.2
Teleop11.2
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
20%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned7%Barge oddsMissed