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Red141
409651.6
969254.5
215122.5
Blue73
512517.0
11233.2
470217.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1376105010015020014173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+38Auto
+84Teleop
+72Endgame
+68Fouls
AutonomousRed +38
0Leave9
9Coral scored#0
47Coral points0
47Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +46
17Coral scored#8
60Coral points30
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
18Processor points6
12Net points8
30Algae points14
90Total teleop44
Reef
9L4#3
8L3#2
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
32Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +68
0Foul points4
141Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9692
#10
54.50.7
49.950.7
Auto18.3
Teleop30.8
End5.5
red by 21.3
112
#18
33.20.3
28.227.9
Auto1.6
Teleop28.8
End2.8
Second
51.60.7
46.547.3
Auto15.2
Teleop34.5
End1.8
red by 33.7
4702
#17
17.90.4
18.117.7
Auto5.3
Teleop10.1
End2.5
Third
2151
#15
22.51.0
22.123.1
Auto7.1
Teleop15.8
End-0.5
red by 5.5
5125
#32
17.00.3
16.015.7
Auto4.4
Teleop11.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned22%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsEarned