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Red55
888042.0
720110.4
802922.9
Blue92
302323.1
464529.7
306720.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8871204060801001201405592

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+25
Endgame+25
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave9
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points10
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +22
6Coral scored#9
21Coral points31
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#2
6Processor points18
8Net points8
14Algae points26
35Total teleop57
Reef
4L4#4
2L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points12
55Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8880
#11
42.01.4
40.138.7
Auto6.1
Teleop31.2
End4.7
red by 12.3
4645
#25
29.71.1
26.327.4
Auto6.2
Teleop21.6
End1.9
Second
8029
#34
22.91.8
23.121.2
Auto4.1
Teleop15.9
End2.9
blue by 0.3
3023
#20
23.11.1
18.719.8
Auto4.4
Teleop13.1
End5.7
Third
7201
#35
10.41.8
12.410.6
Auto1.6
Teleop6.5
End2.3
blue by 10.5
3067
#14
20.91.1
18.419.5
Auto5.9
Teleop12.2
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
9%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed55%Barge oddsMissed