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Red108
888042.0
302323.1
965423.7
Blue70
429623.2
4824.5
802922.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9579020406012014016010870

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+22Teleop
+44Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave9
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points10
23Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +18
10Coral scored#6
35Coral points23
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
49Total teleop31
Reef
7L4#3
2L3#2
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#10
BargeRed +22
36Cage & park14
36Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
0Foul points6
108Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8880
#11
42.01.9
38.740.6
Auto6.1
Teleop31.2
End4.7
red by 17.6
48
#26
24.50.4
24.724.4
Auto5.3
Teleop14.4
End4.7
Second
9654
#24
23.72.3
21.423.7
Auto5.7
Teleop15.4
End2.5
red by 0.5
4296
#29
23.20.5
23.723.2
Auto6.8
Teleop13.5
End2.9
Third
3023
#20
23.11.9
19.821.7
Auto4.4
Teleop13.1
End5.7
red by 0.3
8029
#34
22.90.5
21.220.8
Auto4.1
Teleop15.9
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsEarned