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Red64
582224.8
1021420.4
486325.1
Blue77
11233.2
306720.9
966914.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8262020401001201401606477

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+15
Endgame+13
Fouls+13
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave3
3Coral scored#1
15Coral points6
15Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +21
7Coral scored#11
25Coral points40
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
33Total teleop54
Reef
4L4#4
2L3#4
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#15
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points0
64Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4863
#16
25.10.7
25.725.1
Auto7.3
Teleop15.4
End2.3
blue by 8.1
112
#18
33.21.1
27.929.0
Auto1.6
Teleop28.8
End2.8
Second
5822
#27
24.80.6
25.725.1
Auto5.0
Teleop15.7
End4.2
red by 3.9
3067
#14
20.91.1
19.520.6
Auto5.9
Teleop12.2
End2.8
Third
20.40.6
20.920.4
Auto4.7
Teleop12.9
End2.8
red by 5.8
9669
#28
14.61.2
13.314.6
Auto4.5
Teleop8.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned20%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsEarned49%Barge oddsEarned