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Red200
11178.1
233872.9
802922.9
Blue85
812235.7
1043825.2
4824.5
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1947605010015025020085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+103Teleop
+115Endgame
+115Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave3
7Coral scored#6
35Coral points31
44Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +93
21Coral scored#8
76Coral points27
5Processor algae#1
6Net algae#1
30Processor points6
24Net points4
54Algae points10
130Total teleop37
Reef
7L4#4
10L3#5
5L2#3
6L1 · trough#2
39Game pieces#16
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +115
0Foul points0
200Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#1
78.10.7
76.276.9
Auto17.6
Teleop49.7
End10.7
red by 42.4
8122
#22
35.70.0
35.635.6
Auto9.4
Teleop19.1
End7.1
Second
72.90.7
71.071.7
Auto24.8
Teleop40.7
End7.4
red by 47.7
25.20.0
25.125.1
Auto5.1
Teleop19.0
End1.1
Third
8029
#34
22.90.8
20.821.6
Auto4.1
Teleop15.9
End2.9
blue by 1.6
48
#26
24.50.0
24.424.4
Auto5.3
Teleop14.4
End4.7