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Red99
812235.7
1043825.2
4824.5
Blue81
582224.8
178138.8
478725.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91102204060801201401609981

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+4Teleop
+18Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave0
3Coral scored#5
16Coral points26
16Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +14
11Coral scored#8
41Coral points29
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#1
6Processor points12
12Net points4
18Algae points16
59Total teleop45
Reef
4L4#3
6L3#5
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#16
BargeRed +14
24Cage & park10
24Total endgame10
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points0
99Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8122
#22
35.70.3
35.635.9
Auto9.4
Teleop19.1
End7.1
blue by 3.1
1781
#13
38.80.2
39.038.8
Auto6.8
Teleop31.7
End0.4
Second
25.20.3
25.125.4
Auto5.1
Teleop19.0
End1.1
blue by 0.5
25.60.2
25.925.6
Auto5.7
Teleop13.9
End6.1
Third
48
#26
24.50.3
24.424.7
Auto5.3
Teleop14.4
End4.7
blue by 0.4
5822
#27
24.80.2
25.024.8
Auto5.0
Teleop15.7
End4.2