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Red160
969254.5
32348.9
512517.0
Blue197
11233.2
202253.1
928045.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12513480100160180200160197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
Teleop+39
Endgame+25
Fouls+37
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave6
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points13
30Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +50
22Coral scored#31
80Coral points112
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#6
12Processor points18
12Net points24
24Algae points42
104Total teleop154
Reef
11L4#18
8L3#8
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#43
BargeRed +14
26Cage & park12
26Total endgame12
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points12
160Total score197

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9692
#10
54.51.0
53.054.0
Auto18.3
Teleop30.8
End5.5
red by 1.4
53.11.5
48.950.3
Auto7.2
Teleop45.4
End0.5
Second
323
#3
48.91.0
47.448.3
Auto8.0
Teleop36.1
End4.7
red by 3.4
9280
#31
45.51.5
41.342.7
Auto5.1
Teleop37.4
End2.9
Third
5125
#32
17.01.0
15.516.5
Auto4.4
Teleop11.1
End1.5
blue by 16.2
112
#18
33.21.5
29.030.4
Auto1.6
Teleop28.8
End2.8