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Red159
414356.2
306152.6
306720.9
Blue131
888042.0
1043542.5
302323.1
80%Model gave it20%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14610750200250159131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+24Teleop
+34Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave3
7Coral scored#4
35Coral points20
44Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +3
21Coral scored#21
75Coral points76
3Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
18Processor points6
8Net points16
26Algae points22
101Total teleop98
Reef
10L4#12
7L3#8
7L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
33Game pieces#30
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points6
159Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.20.6
56.757.4
Auto12.6
Teleop37.3
End6.2
red by 13.7
42.50.5
41.141.5
Auto3.8
Teleop33.0
End5.7
Second
52.60.6
53.153.7
Auto14.9
Teleop33.1
End4.7
red by 10.6
8880
#11
42.00.5
40.641.0
Auto6.1
Teleop31.2
End4.7
Third
3067
#14
20.90.6
20.621.2
Auto5.9
Teleop12.2
End2.8
blue by 2.2
3023
#20
23.10.5
21.722.2
Auto4.4
Teleop13.1
End5.7