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Red174
11178.1
233872.9
802922.9
Blue150
263845.9
464529.7
409651.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions190120100150200250174150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+20Teleop
+32Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave0
5Coral scored#7
27Coral points33
30Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +23
27Coral scored#16
96Coral points59
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#5
12Processor points18
12Net points20
24Algae points38
120Total teleop97
Reef
7L4#7
13L3#7
5L2#7
7L1 · trough#2
37Game pieces#31
BargeRed +12
24Cage & park12
24Total endgame12
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points8
174Total score150

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#1
78.10.1
76.977.0
Auto17.6
Teleop49.7
End10.7
red by 26.5
51.60.4
49.950.3
Auto15.2
Teleop34.5
End1.8
Second
72.90.1
71.771.8
Auto24.8
Teleop40.7
End7.4
red by 27.0
45.90.4
44.244.6
Auto11.6
Teleop27.5
End6.8
Third
8029
#34
22.90.1
21.621.7
Auto4.1
Teleop15.9
End2.9
blue by 6.8
4645
#25
29.70.4
28.028.5
Auto6.2
Teleop21.6
End1.9