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Red101
414356.2
306152.6
215122.5
Blue192
11233.2
202253.1
928045.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15513750100200250300101192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
Teleop+61
Endgame+61
Fouls+91
AutonomousRed +8
6Leave9
4Coral scored#2
21Coral points10
27Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +69
12Coral scored#26
44Coral points93
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#6
6Processor points18
16Net points24
22Algae points42
66Total teleop135
Reef
5L4#13
5L3#6
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#5
21Game pieces#37
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Penalties & totalBlue +91
6Foul points36
101Total score192

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.20.9
57.456.5
Auto12.6
Teleop37.3
End6.2
red by 3.1
53.10.7
50.351.1
Auto7.2
Teleop45.4
End0.5
Second
52.60.9
53.752.9
Auto14.9
Teleop33.1
End4.7
red by 7.1
9280
#31
45.50.7
42.743.5
Auto5.1
Teleop37.4
End2.9
Third
2151
#15
22.51.0
23.522.5
Auto7.1
Teleop15.8
End-0.5
blue by 10.6
112
#18
33.20.7
30.431.1
Auto1.6
Teleop28.8
End2.8