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Red137
263845.9
464529.7
409651.6
Blue124
969254.5
32348.9
512517.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13012650100150200137124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+7Teleop
+15Endgame
+13Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
7Coral scored#6
34Coral points28
37Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +7
14Coral scored#15
50Coral points53
2Processor algae#3
6Net algae#2
12Processor points18
24Net points8
36Algae points26
86Total teleop79
Reef
10L4#7
4L3#7
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#26
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points2
137Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.60.3
50.350.6
Auto15.2
Teleop34.5
End1.8
blue by 2.9
9692
#10
54.50.0
54.554.5
Auto18.3
Teleop30.8
End5.5
Second
45.90.3
44.644.9
Auto11.6
Teleop27.5
End6.8
blue by 3.0
323
#3
48.90.0
48.848.9
Auto8.0
Teleop36.1
End4.7
Third
4645
#25
29.70.3
28.528.8
Auto6.2
Teleop21.6
End1.9
red by 12.7
5125
#32
17.00.0
17.017.0
Auto4.4
Teleop11.1
End1.5