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Red94
888039.8
812221.9
582220.1
Blue5
470211.8
99902.9
215112.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11763050100150200250945

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+69Teleop
+71Endgame
+89Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
9Leave0
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
16Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +56
12Coral scored#0
42Coral points0
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
56Total teleop0
Reef
3L4#1
4L3#0
3L2#0
3L1 · trough#0
16Game pieces#1
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +89
18Foul points0
94Total score5

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8880
Unranked
39.81.8
42.640.8
Auto5.1
Teleop30.1
End4.5
red by 27.7
2151
Unranked
12.03.5
22.519.0
Auto3.4
Teleop9.2
End-0.5
Second
8122
Unranked
21.91.8
35.733.9
Auto6.6
Teleop10.6
End4.7
red by 10.1
4702
Unranked
11.83.5
17.914.4
Auto2.7
Teleop7.5
End1.6
Third
5822
Unranked
20.11.8
24.823.0
Auto5.5
Teleop12.6
End2.0
red by 17.2
9990
Unranked
2.95.2
11.66.3
Auto1.1
Teleop-1.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
79%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed