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Red75
99999.5
1043541.5
99814.6
Blue82
235825.3
178120.6
270427.9
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5610501502002507582

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
+25Teleop
+11Endgame
Fouls+7
AutonomousBlue +13
0Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points7
3Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +38
11Coral scored#7
40Coral points24
3Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
18Processor points0
12Net points8
30Algae points8
70Total teleop32
Reef
6L4#3
2L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points18
75Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
10435
Unranked
41.50.6
43.143.7
Auto2.5
Teleop36.8
End2.2
red by 13.6
2704
Unranked
27.92.0
28.426.4
Auto3.6
Teleop23.6
End0.7
Second
9999
Unranked
9.51.0
11.612.5
Auto2.1
Teleop7.2
End0.2
blue by 15.8
2358
Unranked
25.32.0
27.125.1
Auto7.7
Teleop9.4
End8.2
Third
9981
Unranked
4.61.0
11.612.5
Auto0.9
Teleop3.2
End0.5
blue by 16.0
1781
Unranked
20.62.0
38.836.8
Auto3.8
Teleop16.8
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsMissed89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsEarned