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Red34
215112.0
99885.9
99814.6
Blue140
1043541.5
812221.9
270427.9
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2111305010015020034140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+64
Endgame+62
Fouls+106
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave3
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +54
4Coral scored#13
14Coral points48
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
0Processor points12
4Net points12
4Algae points24
18Total teleop72
Reef
2L4#5
1L3#4
1L2#4
0L1 · trough#3
5Game pieces#21
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +106
6Foul points50
34Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2151
Unranked
12.00.6
12.912.3
Auto3.4
Teleop9.2
End-0.5
blue by 29.4
10435
Unranked
41.50.6
42.341.7
Auto2.5
Teleop36.8
End2.2
Second
9988
Unranked
5.90.9
6.75.7
Auto1.7
Teleop3.8
End0.3
blue by 22.0
2704
Unranked
27.90.6
27.827.2
Auto3.6
Teleop23.6
End0.7
Third
9981
Unranked
4.60.9
7.86.9
Auto0.9
Teleop3.2
End0.5
blue by 17.2
8122
Unranked
21.90.6
22.421.8
Auto6.6
Teleop10.6
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
10%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
5%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsEarned