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Qual 152025 Windy City Windup
Red83
478720.8
235825.3
99999.5
Blue92
178120.6
233876.0
470211.8
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5513901001502002508392

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+43
Endgame+35
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +8
3Leave3
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points17
12Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +35
6Coral scored#13
21Coral points46
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
6Processor points12
4Net points8
10Algae points20
31Total teleop66
Reef
3L4#9
3L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#20
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
26Foul points0
83Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2358
Unranked
25.30.2
25.0→25.2
Auto7.7
Teleop9.4
End8.2
blue by 50.7
2338
Unranked
76.01.7
77.7→76.0
Auto22.2
Teleop45.1
End8.7
Second
4787
Unranked
20.80.2
22.3→22.5
Auto3.9
Teleop14.1
End2.8
red by 0.1
1781
Unranked
20.61.7
26.5→24.7
Auto3.8
Teleop16.8
End-0.0
Third
9999
Unranked
9.50.3
6.8→7.1
Auto2.1
Teleop7.2
End0.2
blue by 2.3
4702
Unranked
11.81.7
13.9→12.2
Auto2.7
Teleop7.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed26%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned50%Barge oddsMissed