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Red34
99814.6
478720.8
178120.6
Blue43
470211.8
812221.9
99885.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54533540455060653443

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+7
Endgame+9
Fouls+9
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +7
3Coral scored#7
11Coral points26
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
0Processor points0
12Net points4
12Algae points4
23Total teleop30
Reef
2L4#3
1L3#2
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points0
34Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4787
Unranked
20.81.3
22.120.8
Auto3.9
Teleop14.1
End2.8
blue by 1.1
8122
Unranked
21.90.1
21.821.9
Auto6.6
Teleop10.6
End4.7
Second
1781
Unranked
20.61.3
22.020.6
Auto3.8
Teleop16.8
End-0.0
red by 8.8
4702
Unranked
11.80.1
11.711.8
Auto2.7
Teleop7.5
End1.6
Third
9981
Unranked
4.62.2
6.94.6
Auto0.9
Teleop3.2
End0.5
blue by 1.2
9988
Unranked
5.90.1
5.75.9
Auto1.7
Teleop3.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed38%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed