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Red125
233876.0
582220.1
99999.5
Blue77
215112.0
1043541.5
486314.9
90%Model gave it10%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1256705010015020012577

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+46Teleop
+48Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
3Leave3
7Coral scored#1
34Coral points3
37Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +15
16Coral scored#13
56Coral points47
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
70Total teleop55
Reef
11L4#6
5L3#2
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
12Foul points12
125Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2338
Unranked
76.00.7
75.376.0
Auto22.2
Teleop45.1
End8.7
red by 34.5
10435
Unranked
41.50.3
41.741.5
Auto2.5
Teleop36.8
End2.2
Second
5822
Unranked
20.10.7
19.520.1
Auto5.5
Teleop12.6
End2.0
red by 5.2
4863
Unranked
14.90.3
15.214.9
Auto4.7
Teleop7.9
End2.3
Third
9999
Unranked
9.51.1
8.49.5
Auto2.1
Teleop7.2
End0.2
blue by 2.5
2151
Unranked
12.00.3
12.312.0
Auto3.4
Teleop9.2
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned29%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed