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Red125
464520.8
99814.6
233876.0
Blue45
486314.9
178120.6
812221.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1259305015020025012545

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+68Teleop
+80Endgame
+80Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave0
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points13
30Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +51
13Coral scored#3
45Coral points10
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
12Processor points0
8Net points4
20Algae points4
65Total teleop14
Reef
5L4#2
5L3#2
5L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#7
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +80
14Foul points14
125Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2338
Unranked
76.00.8
79.678.8
Auto22.2
Teleop45.1
End8.7
red by 54.1
8122
Unranked
21.94.4
33.929.5
Auto6.6
Teleop10.6
End4.7
Second
4645
Unranked
20.80.8
28.127.3
Auto5.4
Teleop13.1
End2.3
red by 0.2
1781
Unranked
20.64.4
36.832.4
Auto3.8
Teleop16.8
End-0.0
Third
9981
Unranked
4.61.4
12.511.2
Auto0.9
Teleop3.2
End0.5
blue by 10.3
4863
Unranked
14.94.4
23.619.2
Auto4.7
Teleop7.9
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
40%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned56%Barge oddsEarned