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Red97
229033.3
470211.8
1043541.5
Blue68
582220.1
99885.9
235825.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100630501509768

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
+35Teleop
+41Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousBlue +13
6Leave0
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points19
6Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +48
11Coral scored#4
41Coral points15
3Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
18Processor points0
12Net points8
30Algae points8
71Total teleop23
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#10
BargeRed +6
12Cage & park6
12Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
8Foul points20
97Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
10435
Unranked
41.50.1
42.542.6
Auto2.5
Teleop36.8
End2.2
red by 16.2
2358
Unranked
25.30.5
23.923.4
Auto7.7
Teleop9.4
End8.2
Second
2290
Unranked
33.30.1
30.130.1
Auto9.7
Teleop20.2
End3.4
red by 13.2
5822
Unranked
20.10.5
22.121.6
Auto5.5
Teleop12.6
End2.0
Third
4702
Unranked
11.80.1
15.115.2
Auto2.7
Teleop7.5
End1.6
red by 5.9
9988
Unranked
5.90.8
9.18.3
Auto1.7
Teleop3.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed48%Barge oddsEarned