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Red114
215112.0
270427.9
233876.0
Blue33
178120.6
464520.8
99902.9
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1437305010020011433

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+71Teleop
+81Endgame
+81Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
4Coral points7
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +74
17Coral scored#3
61Coral points9
1Processor algae#0
5Net algae#1
6Processor points0
20Net points4
26Algae points4
87Total teleop13
Reef
8L4#2
4L3#1
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
24Game pieces#5
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +81
0Foul points0
114Total score33

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2338
Unranked
76.00.6
78.878.2
Auto22.2
Teleop45.1
End8.7
red by 55.1
4645
Unranked
20.82.1
27.325.2
Auto5.4
Teleop13.1
End2.3
Second
2704
Unranked
27.90.6
27.126.4
Auto3.6
Teleop23.6
End0.7
red by 7.3
1781
Unranked
20.62.1
32.430.3
Auto3.8
Teleop16.8
End-0.0
Third
2151
Unranked
12.00.6
17.917.2
Auto3.4
Teleop9.2
End-0.5
red by 9.1
9990
Unranked
2.93.5
4.81.3
Auto1.1
Teleop-1.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsMissed68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
46%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsMissed