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Red105
888039.8
99814.6
235825.3
Blue35
99885.9
582220.1
486314.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7255020408010012014010535

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+64Teleop
+64Endgame
+70Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave6
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points3
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +60
17Coral scored#4
62Coral points16
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
80Total teleop20
Reef
6L4#2
5L3#1
6L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#6
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +70
6Foul points0
105Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8880
Unranked
39.81.6
39.240.8
Auto5.1
Teleop30.1
End4.5
red by 19.7
5822
Unranked
20.11.2
21.620.4
Auto5.5
Teleop12.6
End2.0
Second
2358
Unranked
25.31.6
23.425.0
Auto7.7
Teleop9.4
End8.2
red by 10.3
4863
Unranked
14.91.2
16.915.7
Auto4.7
Teleop7.9
End2.3
Third
9981
Unranked
4.62.7
7.39.9
Auto0.9
Teleop3.2
End0.5
blue by 1.2
9988
Unranked
5.92.0
8.36.4
Auto1.7
Teleop3.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed