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Red134
888039.8
99814.6
229033.3
Blue89
270427.9
99999.5
1043541.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8675020030040013489

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8880
Unranked
39.80.0
39.839.8
Auto5.1
Teleop30.1
End4.5
blue by 1.7
10435
Unranked
41.50.0
41.541.5
Auto2.5
Teleop36.8
End2.2
Second
2290
Unranked
33.30.0
33.333.3
Auto9.7
Teleop20.2
End3.4
red by 5.4
2704
Unranked
27.90.0
27.927.9
Auto3.6
Teleop23.6
End0.7
Third
9981
Unranked
4.60.0
4.64.6
Auto0.9
Teleop3.2
End0.5
blue by 4.8
9999
Unranked
9.50.0
9.59.5
Auto2.1
Teleop7.2
End0.2