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Red80
99902.9
235825.3
215112.0
Blue53
178120.6
812221.9
478720.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585902040801008053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2358
Unranked
25.30.0
25.325.3
Auto7.7
Teleop9.4
End8.2
red by 3.4
8122
Unranked
21.90.0
21.921.9
Auto6.6
Teleop10.6
End4.7
Second
2151
Unranked
12.00.0
12.012.0
Auto3.4
Teleop9.2
End-0.5
blue by 8.7
4787
Unranked
20.80.0
20.820.8
Auto3.9
Teleop14.1
End2.8
Third
9990
Unranked
2.90.0
2.92.9
Auto1.1
Teleop-1.0
End2.9
blue by 17.7
1781
Unranked
20.60.0
20.620.6
Auto3.8
Teleop16.8
End-0.0