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Red150
99885.9
233876.0
486314.9
Blue26
582220.1
464520.8
470211.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12844010015020015026

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2338
Unranked
76.00.0
76.076.0
Auto22.2
Teleop45.1
End8.7
red by 55.1
4645
Unranked
20.80.0
20.820.8
Auto5.4
Teleop13.1
End2.3
Second
4863
Unranked
14.90.0
14.914.9
Auto4.7
Teleop7.9
End2.3
blue by 5.2
5822
Unranked
20.10.0
20.120.1
Auto5.5
Teleop12.6
End2.0
Third
9988
Unranked
5.90.0
5.95.9
Auto1.7
Teleop3.8
End0.3
blue by 5.9
4702
Unranked
11.80.0
11.811.8
Auto2.7
Teleop7.5
End1.6