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Red188
175672.1
248195.4
235824.3
Blue123
584749.2
120832.4
414361.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions206147100250188123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+55Teleop
+55Endgame
+65Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave0
8Coral scored#7
38Coral points37
47Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +45
20Coral scored#12
71Coral points42
3Processor algae#1
6Net algae#5
18Processor points6
24Net points20
42Algae points26
113Total teleop68
Reef
8L4#8
10L3#5
5L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
37Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +65
12Foul points2
188Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95.40.4
95.895.4
Auto22.2
Teleop60.9
End12.3
red by 33.9
61.50.5
62.061.5
Auto14.3
Teleop38.3
End8.9
Second
72.10.4
72.572.1
Auto10.9
Teleop52.0
End9.2
red by 22.9
5847
#14
49.20.5
49.849.2
Auto11.3
Teleop36.9
End1.0
Third
2358
#23
24.30.4
24.624.3
Auto5.6
Teleop11.8
End6.8
blue by 8.2
1208
#25
32.40.5
33.032.4
Auto6.0
Teleop22.4
End4.0