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Red208
175672.1
248195.4
235824.3
Blue160
584749.2
120832.4
414361.5
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions206147100250300208160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+44Teleop
+54Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
9Leave0
10Coral scored#7
52Coral points33
61Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +16
24Coral scored#20
85Coral points73
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#5
12Processor points12
24Net points20
36Algae points32
121Total teleop105
Reef
14L4#7
8L3#8
8L2#8
4L1 · trough#4
42Game pieces#34
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +48
0Foul points6
208Total score160

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95.40.4
95.495.8
Auto22.2
Teleop60.9
End12.3
red by 33.9
61.50.2
61.862.0
Auto14.3
Teleop38.3
End8.9
Second
72.10.4
72.272.5
Auto10.9
Teleop52.0
End9.2
red by 22.9
5847
#14
49.20.2
49.549.8
Auto11.3
Teleop36.9
End1.0
Third
2358
#23
24.30.4
24.324.6
Auto5.6
Teleop11.8
End6.8
blue by 8.2
1208
#25
32.40.2
32.733.0
Auto6.0
Teleop22.4
End4.0