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Red155
113857.2
125929.8
465555.2
Blue162
584749.2
120832.4
414361.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions148154120130140160170180190155162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+9
Endgame+9
Fouls+7
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
8Coral scored#8
41Coral points41
44Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +9
16Coral scored#16
57Coral points56
3Processor algae#4
5Net algae#6
18Processor points24
20Net points24
38Algae points48
95Total teleop104
Reef
5L4#11
9L3#7
5L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#34
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +7
2Foul points0
155Total score162

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.20.3
56.957.2
Auto7.5
Teleop41.8
End7.9
blue by 4.3
61.50.4
61.361.8
Auto14.3
Teleop38.3
End8.9
Second
55.20.3
55.055.2
Auto14.2
Teleop33.9
End7.1
red by 6.0
5847
#14
49.20.4
49.149.5
Auto11.3
Teleop36.9
End1.0
Third
1259
#24
29.80.3
29.629.8
Auto8.4
Teleop17.5
End4.0
blue by 2.6
1208
#25
32.40.4
32.332.7
Auto6.0
Teleop22.4
End4.0