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Red174
204037.5
784829.0
414361.5
Blue158
286143.6
173644.4
120832.4
45%Model gave it55%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10711350150200174158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
Teleop+4
+16Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
3Leave3
6Coral scored#4
30Coral points21
33Total auto24
TeleoperatedBlue +13
21Coral scored#22
75Coral points80
3Processor algae#3
3Net algae#5
18Processor points18
12Net points20
30Algae points38
105Total teleop118
Reef
8L4#9
10L3#8
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#6
33Game pieces#34
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
0Foul points0
174Total score158

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.56.7
40.447.1
Auto14.3
Teleop38.3
End8.9
red by 17.0
44.42.8
38.541.3
Auto9.4
Teleop34.3
End0.8
Second
2040
#16
37.56.7
26.933.7
Auto8.9
Teleop24.0
End4.5
blue by 6.2
2861
#11
43.63.1
41.945.0
Auto8.1
Teleop27.6
End7.9
Third
7848
#17
29.06.7
29.035.7
Auto5.2
Teleop17.7
End6.1
blue by 3.4
1208
#25
32.42.8
19.822.6
Auto6.0
Teleop22.4
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned17%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned71%Barge oddsEarned