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Red23
270424.6
415625.2
235824.3
Blue48
908231.3
431414.9
544226.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73684060801002348

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+21
Endgame+25
Fouls+25
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +18
3Coral scored#8
9Coral points27
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#0
6Processor points6
0Net points0
6Algae points6
15Total teleop33
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#3
1L2#3
0L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points0
23Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4156
#20
25.24.6
17.312.6
Auto5.3
Teleop17.1
End2.8
blue by 6.1
9082
#15
31.31.9
22.420.5
Auto5.7
Teleop22.4
End3.1
Second
2704
#29
24.64.6
23.318.7
Auto4.8
Teleop18.1
End1.7
blue by 2.3
5442
#21
26.91.9
27.225.3
Auto6.3
Teleop19.8
End0.8
Third
2358
#23
24.34.6
24.219.6
Auto5.6
Teleop11.8
End6.8
red by 9.4
4314
#31
14.91.9
15.713.8
Auto4.0
Teleop11.6
End-0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsMissed