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Red134
64827.2
421353.4
888031.4
Blue63
623729.9
359621.3
665131.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87702040608010012014013463

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+65Teleop
+65Endgame
+71Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave6
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +58
20Coral scored#10
72Coral points36
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
12Processor points6
24Net points8
36Algae points14
108Total teleop50
Reef
8L4#3
7L3#4
6L2#1
2L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +71
6Foul points0
134Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4213
#13
53.42.8
33.336.1
Auto10.7
Teleop39.3
End3.3
red by 21.4
6651
#18
31.91.2
22.921.7
Auto4.3
Teleop25.0
End2.6
Second
8880
#30
31.44.6
21.526.2
Auto3.0
Teleop25.4
End3.0
red by 1.5
29.91.2
19.818.6
Auto4.5
Teleop19.4
End6.1
Third
648
#33
27.24.6
22.927.5
Auto5.8
Teleop16.8
End4.7
red by 5.9
3596
#27
21.31.2
22.921.7
Auto4.6
Teleop14.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed