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Red118
175672.1
203911.3
348839.1
Blue71
465555.2
409635.1
125929.8
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions140785010015020011871

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+31Teleop
+41Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
9Leave6
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points21
26Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +32
12Coral scored#6
44Coral points22
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
72Total teleop40
Reef
5L4#4
6L3#3
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#14
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
6Foul points0
118Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.10.7
67.666.9
Auto10.9
Teleop52.0
End9.2
red by 16.9
55.20.9
29.929.0
Auto14.2
Teleop33.9
End7.1
Second
39.11.1
29.128.0
Auto6.4
Teleop28.7
End4.0
red by 4.0
4096
#19
35.10.9
24.924.0
Auto11.0
Teleop23.1
End1.0
Third
2039
#34
11.31.1
25.524.4
Auto3.1
Teleop6.4
End1.8
blue by 18.6
1259
#24
29.80.9
24.223.3
Auto8.4
Teleop17.5
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
30%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned53%Barge oddsMissed