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Red118
642133.7
442336.6
784829.0
Blue99
202243.3
1043541.6
415625.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions896305010015011899

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+3Teleop
+5Endgame
+19Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points7
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +3
19Coral scored#16
68Coral points57
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
12Processor points12
4Net points12
16Algae points24
84Total teleop81
Reef
5L4#7
8L3#6
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#22
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
14Foul points0
118Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.61.5
20.021.5
Auto8.3
Teleop27.0
End1.4
blue by 6.7
2022
#10
43.33.0
29.132.1
Auto4.1
Teleop37.1
End2.1
Second
6421
#12
33.71.0
23.624.6
Auto6.3
Teleop21.3
End6.1
blue by 7.9
41.63.0
19.122.1
Auto4.5
Teleop31.0
End6.0
Third
7848
#17
29.01.5
35.737.2
Auto5.2
Teleop17.7
End6.1
red by 3.8
4156
#20
25.23.0
12.615.6
Auto5.3
Teleop17.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned23%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
48%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsMissed