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Red116
113857.2
908231.3
784829.0
Blue84
809616.8
173644.4
642133.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9395608010012014011684

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
+12Teleop
+32Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousBlue +8
3Leave0
3Coral scored#5
16Coral points27
19Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +20
15Coral scored#11
53Coral points39
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
6Processor points0
12Net points12
18Algae points12
71Total teleop51
Reef
5L4#5
6L3#4
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
22Game pieces#19
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
0Foul points0
116Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.22.6
39.442.0
Auto7.5
Teleop41.8
End7.9
red by 12.8
44.40.1
36.035.9
Auto9.4
Teleop34.3
End0.8
Second
9082
#15
31.33.2
20.623.8
Auto5.7
Teleop22.4
End3.1
blue by 2.4
6421
#12
33.70.1
20.720.6
Auto6.3
Teleop21.3
End6.1
Third
7848
#17
29.03.2
26.930.1
Auto5.2
Teleop17.7
End6.1
red by 12.3
8096
#35
16.80.1
28.328.2
Auto4.5
Teleop8.8
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsMissed