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Red159
248195.4
431414.9
247035.4
Blue72
204037.5
415625.2
544226.9
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15757010020025015972

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+57Teleop
+57Endgame
+87Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave9
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points11
23Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +54
17Coral scored#6
60Coral points22
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
18Processor points6
12Net points8
30Algae points14
90Total teleop36
Reef
8L4#3
7L3#2
5L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +87
30Foul points0
159Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95.40.6
83.682.9
Auto22.2
Teleop60.9
End12.3
red by 57.9
2040
#16
37.51.1
21.422.5
Auto8.9
Teleop24.0
End4.5
Second
2470
#32
35.41.1
29.828.7
Auto6.6
Teleop26.8
End2.0
red by 8.5
5442
#21
26.91.1
22.523.6
Auto6.3
Teleop19.8
End0.8
Third
4314
#31
14.91.1
19.418.3
Auto4.0
Teleop11.6
End-0.8
blue by 10.3
4156
#20
25.21.1
17.819.0
Auto5.3
Teleop17.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
34%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsEarned