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Red104
348839.1
888031.4
120832.4
Blue118
202243.3
421353.4
741729.4
53%Model gave it47%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions747320406080100120104118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+26
Endgame+14
Fouls+14
AutonomousBlue +1
0Leave9
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points1
9Total auto10
TeleoperatedBlue +25
16Coral scored#16
59Coral points58
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#7
12Processor points18
8Net points28
20Algae points46
79Total teleop104
Reef
4L4#6
6L3#5
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#26
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points0
104Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.14.4
24.328.7
Auto6.4
Teleop28.7
End4.0
blue by 14.3
4213
#13
53.43.4
29.532.9
Auto10.7
Teleop39.3
End3.3
Second
1208
#25
32.43.2
17.721.0
Auto6.0
Teleop22.4
End4.0
blue by 10.8
2022
#10
43.35.0
20.125.1
Auto4.1
Teleop37.1
End2.1
Third
8880
#30
31.44.4
19.724.1
Auto3.0
Teleop25.4
End3.0
red by 2.0
7417
#22
29.45.0
20.125.1
Auto4.7
Teleop23.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsMissed62%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsMissed