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Red140
584749.2
175672.1
431414.9
Blue79
809616.8
270424.6
421353.4
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1318005010015020014079

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+51Teleop
+61Endgame
+61Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave0
3Coral scored#5
17Coral points23
20Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +54
22Coral scored#11
80Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
6Processor points6
20Net points8
26Algae points14
106Total teleop52
Reef
9L4#7
5L3#5
6L2#2
5L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#19
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +61
0Foul points0
140Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.11.7
66.968.6
Auto10.9
Teleop52.0
End9.2
red by 18.8
4213
#13
53.40.0
36.136.1
Auto10.7
Teleop39.3
End3.3
Second
5847
#14
49.22.9
33.436.3
Auto11.3
Teleop36.9
End1.0
red by 24.6
2704
#29
24.60.0
18.718.7
Auto4.8
Teleop18.1
End1.7
Third
4314
#31
14.92.9
13.816.7
Auto4.0
Teleop11.6
End-0.8
blue by 1.9
8096
#35
16.80.0
23.823.9
Auto4.5
Teleop8.8
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
42%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsEarned11%Barge oddsMissed