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Red168
642133.7
623729.9
248195.4
Blue109
464522.4
665131.9
204037.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14978050100200168109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+29Teleop
+61Endgame
+59Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
3Coral scored#4
16Coral points20
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +36
17Coral scored#14
60Coral points52
4Processor algae#2
8Net algae#4
24Processor points12
32Net points16
56Algae points28
116Total teleop80
Reef
6L4#8
7L3#5
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#24
BargeRed +32
36Cage & park4
36Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +59
0Foul points2
168Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95.41.7
87.989.6
Auto22.2
Teleop60.9
End12.3
red by 57.9
2040
#16
37.52.1
33.735.7
Auto8.9
Teleop24.0
End4.5
Second
6421
#12
33.71.7
24.626.3
Auto6.3
Teleop21.3
End6.1
red by 1.8
6651
#18
31.92.1
21.723.7
Auto4.3
Teleop25.0
End2.6
Third
29.92.9
18.621.4
Auto4.5
Teleop19.4
End6.1
red by 7.5
4645
#28
22.42.1
21.823.9
Auto3.7
Teleop15.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned26%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
38%Coral oddsEarned12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned49%Barge oddsMissed